Will Donald Trump say “Social Security / Overtime / Tip” 4+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Social Security / Overtime / Tip” 4+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 28, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (4+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Social Security / Overtime / Tip 4+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I did it in my first term also, including no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax on social security for our…
…American history with the great big beautiful bill including no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax on social security. You don't…
…in American history with a great big beautiful bill, no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on social security for our great…
…100, many, many over 100. We kicked 275,000 illegal aliens off of Social Security. And Frank has been amazing in Social Security, JD, I think.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Social Security / Overtime / Tip 4+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Social Security / Overtime / Tip 4+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Social Security / Overtime / Tip” 4+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Social Security / Overtime / Tip 4+ times” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Social Security / Overtime / Tip 4+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/overtime-or-social-security-or-tip-4plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=overtime%20%2F%20social%20security%20%2F%20tip%20%284%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP