Will Donald Trump say “Not allowed to say”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Not allowed to say” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 29, 2025.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Not allowed to say
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2025 | Not allowed to say |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Not allowed to say”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Not allowed to say” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 29, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Not allowed to say” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Not allowed to say’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/not-allowed-to-say (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=not%20allowed%20to%20say · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP