Will Donald Trump say “North Carolina” 3+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “North Carolina” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 11, 2024.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 21, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
North Carolina 3+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…all over the place. Stand up, please. Look at this. They're from North Carolina, as you can tell by the way they're quafted and dressed.…
…funny thing because Oh, I can't forget. Where are the ladies from North Carolina? Where are you? Look at them. They follow me all over…
…when I -- when I go to North, when I go to North Carolina -- wait, wait, wait -- when I go to North Carolina…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2024 | North Carolina 3+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “North Carolina 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “North Carolina” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 11, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “North Carolina 3+ times” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘North Carolina 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/north-carolina-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=north%20carolina%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP