Will Donald Trump say “No Tax”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “No Tax” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 18, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jun 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
No Tax
- Probability
- 52% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…in American history. I did it in my first term also, including no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax on social…
…tax cuts in American history with the great big beautiful bill including no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax on social…
…largest tax cuts in American history with a great big beautiful bill, no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on social security…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “No Tax”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “No Tax” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 18, 2026 (67%), most recently on Jun 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “No Tax” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘No Tax’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/no-tax (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=no%20tax · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP