Will Donald Trump say “New Jersey”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “New Jersey” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 10, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
New Jersey
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…We have 25,000, 40,000, 75,000. Our record our record is 117,000 in New Jersey. 117,000. There's never been anything like it. And the love has…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | New Jersey |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “New Jersey”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “New Jersey” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “New Jersey” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘New Jersey’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/new-jersey (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=new%20jersey · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP