Will Donald Trump say “United Nations / NATO”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “United Nations / NATO” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
United Nations / NATO
- Probability
- 30% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…really an honor to do so. I had no help from the United Nations. I never made one phone call to the United Nations, but…
…the governor, I took the governor, I put her over at the United Nations because I wanted this guy to be I wanted this guy…
…not nice. You know, we spend hundreds of billions a year on NATO and they said, no. But they were nice enough to give us…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | United Nations / NATO |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | United Nations / NATO | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “United Nations / NATO”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “United Nations / NATO” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “United Nations / NATO” next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘United Nations / NATO’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/nato-or-united-nation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=nato%20%2F%20united%20nation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP