Will Donald Trump say “NATO” 10+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “NATO” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 8, 2026.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
NATO 10+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…not nice. You know, we spend hundreds of billions a year on NATO and they said, no. But they were nice enough to give us…
…addition to America and greatly protects them. It also very much enhances NATO with who has a great leader in. Mark, I know you're in…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2026 | NATO 10+ times |  Polymarket | No | 9 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “NATO 10+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “NATO” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 8, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “NATO 10+ times” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘NATO 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/nato-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=nato%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP