Will Donald Trump say “Migration”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Migration” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 24, 2025.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Migration
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…be dominated by vicious gangs and bloodthirsty drug cartels, destabilized by uncontrolled migration and infiltrated by hostile foreign adversaries, foreign sick, demented adversaries. But not…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025 | Migration |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Migration”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Migration” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 24, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Migration” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Migration’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/migration (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=migration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP