Will Donald Trump say “Venezuela / Mexico” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Venezuela / Mexico” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 18, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Venezuela / Mexico 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…it is almost like a release. It's good. You know, we took Venezuela quickly. We're doing we're doing very well. You have no idea how…
…car plants are all coming in from Canada, they're coming in from Mexico, they're coming in from Germany and Japan, South Korea. You know, they…
…ones are coming in from all over the world. From Canada, from Mexico, from Germany, they come from China. They're coming from all over the
…business and we have deficits with almost everybody -- Canada, $90 billion; Mexico, $175 billion; European Union, $225 billion. We're cutting them way back to…
…them out of jails, and we're working closely with the leaders of Venezuela to forge a much better future for the Venezuelan people. Last month,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | Venezuela / Mexico 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Venezuela / Mexico 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Venezuela / Mexico” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 18, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Venezuela / Mexico 5+ times” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Venezuela / Mexico 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/mexico-or-venezuela-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=mexico%20%2F%20venezuela%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP