Will Donald Trump say “Medical”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Medical” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 15, 2025 (100%), most recently on May 6, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Medical
- Probability
- 40% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…generals. We have the great doctor. And they are great. Walter Reed Medical Center is fantastic. But I said last night, so I took it.…
…that and mutilization shouldn't be doing it. Annie Andrews should have her medical license revoked, taken away. And she should not be allowed to run…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Medical”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Medical” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 15, 2025 (100%), most recently on May 6, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Medical” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Medical’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/medical (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=medical · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP