Will Donald Trump say “Medal” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Medal” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 18, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Medal 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…boxing in the whole thing last time and they both won gold medals. Shockingly, they both won gold medals. But men from playing in women's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Medal 5+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 6 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Medal 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Medal” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Medal 5+ times” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Medal 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/medal-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=medal%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP