Will Donald Trump say “Macron”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Macron” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Macron
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 1 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…not to do what they did in France. And I told President Macron, who's a friend of mine -- I have known him right from…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Macron |  Kalshi | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Macron”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Macron” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Macron” next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Macron’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/macron (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=macron · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP