Will Donald Trump say “Leader”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Leader” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 7, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Leader
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…going our country our country was dead. You know, a lot of leaders said it less than just a little while ago. I was with…
…American wealth for American people and American families in a way no leader has ever done before. And thank you sir. Thank you very much,…
…level in American history." Okay. So, so much for that. And many leaders have said this and said it very strongly less than two years…
…rob you and take everything you have. President Trump is the one leader in American history who stood up and said this isn't going to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Tell us about some of those conversations you had with some of those world leaders.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Leader |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Leader”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Leader” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Leader” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Leader’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/leader (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=leader · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP