Will Donald Trump say “Israel” 7+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Israel” 7+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 7, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (7+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Israel 7+ times
- Probability
- 41% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I don't think so. Abraham Lincoln, I met a young man from Israel. I said, "Who's your favorite president?" He said, "Abraham Lincoln." I said,…
On Israel/Iran, can you fill us in on what Secretary Hegseth spoke about with Prime Minister Netanyahu?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2025 | Israel 7+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Israel 7+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Israel 7+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Israel” 7+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 7, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Israel 7+ times” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Israel 7+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/israel-7plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=israel%20%287%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP