Will Donald Trump say “Tariff / Investment” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Tariff / Investment” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 12, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tariff / Investment 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…less than two years we secured commitments for $22.2 trillion of new investments into the United States of America. the greatest amount by far ever…
…the hottest country anywhere in the world. We made the largest ever investment in the US armed forces, Joanie, and $1 trillion all made in…
…That'll be But we secured commitments for 22.2 trillion dollars in new investments coming into the United States. It's the greatest, the largest amount of…
We've secured commitments for $21 trillion in new investments from all over the planet, compared to less than $1 trillion in four years in the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | Tariff / Investment 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tariff / Investment 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Tariff / Investment” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 12, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tariff / Investment 5+ times” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tariff / Investment 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/investment-or-tariff-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=investment%20%2F%20tariff%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP