Will Donald Trump say “In the history”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “In the history” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 13, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
In the history
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…If that would happen, you might even lose to one of the worst candidates in the history of Florida. This jolly guy is bad news.
…Number two, more Americans are working today than at any time in the history of our country. Huh? Number two. Number three, the poverty rate
…Stephen said, this problem has existed for decades, but no president in the history of the United States put pen to paper and put --…
…we have more plants that make automobiles than at any time in the history of our country. They're being built now. They're opening, some opened.…
…strongest border we've ever had. We have the single greatest moment in the history of our country in terms of the economy, meaning the big…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2025 | In the history |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “In the history”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “In the history” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 13, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “In the history” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘In the history’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/in-the-history (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=in%20the%20history · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP