Will Donald Trump say “Illness”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Donald Trump saying “Illness” has settled yet.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
50%base rate for a new wordNext: Monthly window, Oct 31, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 48¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Illness
- Probability
- 50% · prior
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Illness’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/illness (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=illness · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP