Will Donald Trump say “Illegal immigrant”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Illegal immigrant” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 12, 2024.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (4 rallies, 3 remarks, 1 speech; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Illegal immigrant
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (4 rallies, 3 remarks, 1 speech); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Country Act, prohibiting any future president from ever opening our borders to illegal immigrants again. We will ban sanctuary cities and pass the death penalty…
…Country Act, prohibiting any future president from ever opening our borders to illegal immigrants again. And we will ban sanctuary cities and pass a death…
…country act prohibiting any future president from ever opening our border to illegal immigrants again. That was an invasion. That was like a military invasion.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2024 | Illegal immigrant |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Illegal immigrant”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Illegal immigrant” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 12, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Illegal immigrant” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Illegal immigrant’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/illegal-immigrant (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=illegal%20immigrant · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP