Will Donald Trump say “IBM”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “IBM” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 30, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=2, from prior), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
IBM
- Probability
- 56% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…your relationships with these private sector companies in America, Meta, Google, Microsoft, IBM and so forth, they have immediately come to the table and shut…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “IBM”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “IBM” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 30, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “IBM” next time?
- 56%, from the model (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘IBM’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/ibm (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=ibm · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP