Will Donald Trump say “Gun” 3+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gun” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 19, 2024.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 21, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Gun 3+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and into some of the military. And John Oaf is also an anti-gun radical who sponsored a bill banning the most popular firearms in America.…
…wants to pack the Supreme Court. He wants to take away your guns. He wants to open the borders. He wants to have transgender for…
…us. We shoot at them because right down the barrel of the gun or whatever launched whatever weapon that No, it's unbeliev Think of it.…
…She's you. She's solid. She's great. So Annie Andrews is also an anti-gun extremist who endorsed a ban on the most popular firearms in America.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | Gun 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Gun 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gun” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 19, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Gun 3+ times” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Gun 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/gun-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=gun%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP