Will Donald Trump say “Mar-a-Lago / Golf”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Mar-a-Lago / Golf” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 23, 2026.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Mar-a-Lago / Golf
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted.
…a lake. It's got the only one that's on the boat called Mara Lago. I can go home to Mara Lago instead of being but…
…had it. I've had it. I can't do it anymore. What you've done here, I cannot do oceans, sir. I could do a golf barely.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Mar-a-Lago / Golf |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Mar-a-Lago / Golf”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Mar-a-Lago / Golf” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Mar-a-Lago / Golf” next time?
- 58%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Mar-a-Lago / Golf’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/golf-or-mar-a-lago (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=golf%20%2F%20mar%20a%20lago · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP