Will Donald Trump say “Free”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Free” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 13, 2026.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Free
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 3 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
the Supreme Court of the United States, giving free health care to all illegal aliens, defunding the police, closing all prisons, releasing thousands of violent…
…Oh, look at all the social. Let can I do a little free if you don't mind? Because you know these pollsters charge you a…
…recently passed the Stop Nick Shirley Act, an outrageous attempt to crush free speech and to stop the corruption from being exposed. So, today, I'm…
If they had succeeded, that wicked regime would have been free to spread terror and death forever, knowing that any attempt to stop them would…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2026 | Free |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Free”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Free” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Free” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Free’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/free (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=free · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP