Will Donald Trump say “Scam / Fraud” 3+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Scam / Fraud” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 23, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Scam / Fraud 3+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…seat. Elhan Nure say Elme, her real name, has openly admitted to fraud and she will not be legally allowed to be a member of…
…So Elon Nur say Elmei her real name is openly admitted to fraud and she will not be legally allowed to be a member of…
…that Elhan Nur say Elmei, her real name is openly admitted to fraud and she will not be legally allowed to be a member of…
…everybody for being here. The effort to stop cyber crime and cyber fraud has been ongoing for many years, but I think we're closer to…
…also declared a national emergency on energy and terminated the Green New Scam. One of the greatest hoaxes in the history of our country. And…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | Scam / Fraud 3+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Scam / Fraud 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Scam / Fraud” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Scam / Fraud 3+ times” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Scam / Fraud 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/fraud-or-scam-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=fraud%20%2F%20scam%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP