Will Donald Trump say “Fraud” 10+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Fraud” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 13, 2025.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Fraud 10+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…So Elon Nur say Elmei her real name is openly admitted to fraud and she will not be legally allowed to be a member of…
…that Elhan Nur say Elmei, her real name is openly admitted to fraud and she will not be legally allowed to be a member of…
…everybody for being here. The effort to stop cyber crime and cyber fraud has been ongoing for many years, but I think we're closer to…
…done an incredible job. They've sought out and found tremendous amounts of fraud in various states and it's nothing by comparison to what they're looking…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2025 | Fraud 10+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Fraud 10+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Fraud” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 13, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Fraud 10+ times” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Fraud 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/fraud-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=fraud%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP