Will Donald Trump say “Midterm / Election” 3+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Midterm / Election” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 25, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Midterm / Election 3+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Karen Handel, you might remember, who was losing badly in a special election to a guy that looked very much to me like Peewee Herman.…
…their seat to let somebody please raise your hand, please. In this election, the Democrat party has nominated the most extreme anti-American radicals ever to…
…is, but that's why I don't understand why they are having the election to be honest with you. Turk also voted in favor of deadly…
…them are sick and they want to destroy our country. In this election, I'm asking you to pretend I'm on the ballot because when I'm…
…part of the country is corrupt. We need borders, we need good elections, we need great journalists and we have to stop the tremendous fraud…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Midterm / Election 3+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Midterm / Election 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Midterm / Election” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Midterm / Election 3+ times” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Midterm / Election 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/election-or-midterm-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=election%20%2F%20midterm%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP