Will Donald Trump say “Drug / Murderer” 10+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Drug / Murderer” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 14, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Drug / Murderer 10+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I got most favored nation agreements to reduce the cost of prescription drugs from the highest drug price in the history of our country to…
…how to evade capture. He's explaining to them how to evade capture, murderers, drug dealers, how to evade capture. This is not working for Iowa.…
…States. ZERO, RIGHT? Remember the way we had to live without people murderers and they came from prisons. They came from all over the world…
…much of this region to be dominated by vicious gangs and bloodthirsty drug cartels, destabilized by uncontrolled migration and infiltrated by hostile foreign adversaries, foreign…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Drug / Murderer 10+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 11 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Drug / Murderer 10+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Drug / Murderer” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Drug / Murderer 10+ times” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Drug / Murderer 10+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/drug-or-murderer-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=drug%20%2F%20murderer%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP