Will Donald Trump say “Disgrace”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Disgrace” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 3, 2025.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 21, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Disgrace
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…that's Osaf. And as a US senator, John Oaf has been a disgrace to your state. He voted for every single bill that gave you…
…given you the Nobel Peace Prize, by the way, which is a disgrace. So, what I came up with, Mr. president has a new award.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…never saw that before. But she says she has rights. She's a disgrace to our country. And it's amazing that she can get elected, but…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2025 | Disgrace |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Disgrace”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Disgrace” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 3, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Disgrace” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Disgrace’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/disgrace (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=disgrace · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP