Will Donald Trump say “Depression”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Depression” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 9, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Depression
- Probability
- 63% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…or if the Democrats win, you will have a 1929 style economic depression because just like all of their other policies are so insane, their…
…I hope they don't win, but I hope I'd be wrong about this, you will have a 1929 style economic depression, the likes of which
…will. If the Democrats win, you will have a 1929 style economic depression. I believe that because they're so stupid. They're so stupid. Don't forget,…
…But if they do, you're going to have a 1929 style economic depression because their policies are so stupid. They're almost like if you think…
…my opinion, I hope this would be wrong, the 1929 style economic depression that everyone dreads. You're going to have it because they're they're so…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Depression |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Depression | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Depression”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Depression” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 9, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 10, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Depression” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Depression’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/depression (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=depression · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP