Will Donald Trump say “Crime / Criminal” 12+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Crime / Criminal” 12+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 21, 2026.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (12+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Crime / Criminal 12+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
5 counted.
…control. The hardest thing we have to do is nab these career criminals, these horrendous people, and get them the hell out of here. Get…
…don't fight him, Evander, don't fight him. Record numbers of illegal alien criminals have been taken off the streets and we've achieved the largest we…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Crime / Criminal 12+ times |  Polymarket | No | 5 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Crime / Criminal 12+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Crime / Criminal” 12+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Crime / Criminal 12+ times” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Crime / Criminal 12+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/crime-or-criminal-12plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=crime%20%2F%20criminal%20%2812%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP