Will Donald Trump say “Crime” 15+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Crime” 15+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 14, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Crime 15+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…have no government where they have no anything. All they have is crime. You know what their number one You know what their number one…
…taken off the streets and we've achieved the largest drop in violent crime ever recorded despite the fact that people have come in that we…
…want to thank everybody for being here. The effort to stop cyber crime and cyber fraud has been ongoing for many years, but I think…
…we've achieved the largest we have achieved the largest drop in violent crime ever recorded with the murder rate the lowest it's been in 125…
…money. And because when they did that, that's a certain type of crime. But nobody ever thought that you could have stolen $2 trillion or…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Crime 15+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 32 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Crime 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Crime” 15+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Crime 15+ times” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Crime 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/crime-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=crime%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP