Will Donald Trump say “Crazy / Kamala”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Crazy / Kamala” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 9, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Crazy / Kamala
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…say about him is that he lies. But actually, I believe he's crazy. So now he's pledging to turn Florida into a sanctuary state so…
…She really said she was a horrible liar. I mean, it was crazy. And he made a commercial. He put it up, you know, like…
…watching it cuz I try like what makes these people tick? It's crazy. But Lindsay respected Darlene more than any person on the planet and…
…it. I don't know where they're living. I don't know. It's a crazy situation going on. So, we have now a border that's as strong…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | Crazy / Kamala |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Crazy / Kamala”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Crazy / Kamala” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 9, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Crazy / Kamala” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Crazy / Kamala’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/crazy-or-kamala (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=crazy%20%2F%20kamala · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP