Will Donald Trump say “CIA / FBI”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “CIA / FBI” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 3, 2026.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
CIA / FBI
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Secretary of Homeland Security Markwayne Mullin, Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller, FBI Director Kash Patel, Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton, National Cyber Director…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | CIA / FBI |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “CIA / FBI”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “CIA / FBI” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “CIA / FBI” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘CIA / FBI’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/cia-or-fbi (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=cia%20%2F%20fbi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP