Will Donald Trump say “Child / Children” 5+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Child / Children” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 24, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Child / Children 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…just say a couple of words. This guy's an amazing guy. Foster child. My wife is very big into helping. He saw it as a…
…Nixon was the lead sponsor of a bill to let schools turn children, all of them transgender if they want, without parental without parental consent.…
…Iowa with that record. Turk voted to allow schools to turn your children transgender without informing the parents and with no parental consent. I didn't…
…scammers who try to steal Americans' money, prey on senior citizens, exploit children and young people through fraud, ransomware, impersonization seen -- the -- the…
…be a moderate, but she's really a rabid advocate for taxpayer funded child sexual mutilation, mutilization, and that's nothing she can do about it. That's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Child / Children 5+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Child / Children 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Child / Children” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Child / Children 5+ times” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Child / Children 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/child-or-children-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=child%20%2F%20children%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP