Will Donald Trump say “Career”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Career” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 1, 2025 (50%), most recently on May 1, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

35%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Career

Probability
35% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 1:24:45In transcript

…Zach. We appreciate it. Very good. I heard you had a great career. Everyone here today is part of the greatest movement in the history…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 23:41In transcript

…under control. The hardest thing we have to do is nab these career criminals, these horrendous people, and get them the hell out of here.…

Stephen MillerotherDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:01:05In transcript

…construction site, or as an electrician or as an accountant, whatever your career was, and you worked every single day to provide for yourself, your…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 5, 2026CareerPolymarketNo0
May 1, 2025CareerPolymarketYes–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Career”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Career” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 1, 2025 (50%), most recently on May 1, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Career” next time?
35%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Career’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/career (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=career · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP