Will Donald Trump say “Canada / China” 4+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Canada / China” 4+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 29, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (4+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Canada / China 4+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…fake news says, "Why does he spend time on the white?" Well, I don't like having the head of China come into the White House
…right now, record number of car plants are all coming in from Canada, they're coming in from Mexico, they're coming in from Germany and Japan,…
…say that a very important element is the fact that Russia and China have not participated or participated in a much smaller way than they…
…the new ones are coming in from all over the world. From Canada, from Mexico, from Germany, they come from China. They're coming from all…
…where we do business and we have deficits with almost everybody -- Canada, $90 billion; Mexico, $175 billion; European Union, $225 billion. We're cutting them…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Canada / China 4+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Canada / China 4+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Canada / China” 4+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Canada / China 4+ times” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Canada / China 4+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/canada-or-china-4plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=canada%20%2F%20china%20%284%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP