Will Donald Trump say “Canada” 5+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Canada” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 19, 2025.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Canada 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 0 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…came out of They're closing up in Mexico. They're closing up in Canada. They're building here and other places. Because just so you understand, Canada…
…in very rapid fashion. And I also changed a a beautiful lake that's quite near Canada into Lake America. Lake America. What a beautiful lake.
…right now, record number of car plants are all coming in from Canada, they're coming in from Mexico, they're coming in from Germany and Japan,…
…the new ones are coming in from all over the world. From Canada, from Mexico, from Germany, they come from China. They're coming from all…
…where we do business and we have deficits with almost everybody -- Canada, $90 billion; Mexico, $175 billion; European Union, $225 billion. We're cutting them…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2025 | Canada 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Canada 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Canada” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 19, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Canada 5+ times” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Canada 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/canada-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=canada%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP