What is the probability Donald Trump says “Brutal / Brutally” next time?

40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Donald Trump say “Brutal / Brutally”?

Name: Donald Trump: “Brutal / Brutally” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Brutal / Brutally” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 21, 2025.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 20:08 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Brutal / Brutally

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 0/1 (0%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:05:19In transcript

…is growing the other way, and that's because its social programs are brutal. And no matter what you do, I mean, it's not enough. But…

Donald TrumpspeakerRemarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City · Sep 22, 2026 · 15:02In transcript

…great leaders in this hall, the war in Gaza was still raging brutally. The hostages were still deep in Hamas tunnels and there was no…

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
May 21, 2025	Brutal / Brutally	Polymarket	No

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Brutal / Brutally”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Brutal / Brutally” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 21, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Brutal / Brutally” next time?: 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Brutal / Brutally’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/brutal-or-brutally (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=brutal%20%2F%20brutally · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP