Will Donald Trump say “Border / Tariff”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Border / Tariff” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 23, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Dec 8, 2025
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Border / Tariff
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…He wants to take away your guns. He wants to open the borders. He wants to have transgender for everybody. It's a guy who's gone.…
…in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. It was an invasion. That was like…
…mean, at the War Department, we've done the same on the southwest border with our interagency partners on law enforcement in cities all across America…
…it's a big reason. Take away your second amendment. Wants to open your borders. Wants to do so many things that you're just not going
…just such a big part of the country is corrupt. We need borders, we need good elections, we need great journalists and we have to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | Border / Tariff |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Border / Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Border / Tariff” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 23, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Border / Tariff” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Border / Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/border-or-tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=border%20%2F%20tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP