Will Donald Trump say “Border” 22+ times?

As of Oct 23, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Donald Trump saying “Border” 22+ times has settled yet.

Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (22+, named speaker only) in 0.

48%base rate for a new wordNext: Rally, Oct 24, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Counts
named speaker only
Market
48¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Border 22+ times

Probability
48% · prior
Last 8 rallies
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 10:54In transcript

…He wants to take away your guns. He wants to open the borders. He wants to have transgender for everybody. It's a guy who's gone.…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 15:16In transcript

…in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. It was an invasion. That was like…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Roundtable · Oct 21, 2026 · 14:25In transcript

…mean, at the War Department, we've done the same on the southwest border with our interagency partners on law enforcement in cities all across America…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 13:26In transcript

…it's a big reason. Take away your second amendment. Wants to open your borders. Wants to do so many things that you're just not going

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:03:48In transcript

…just such a big part of the country is corrupt. We need borders, we need good elections, we need great journalists and we have to…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Questions

Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Border 22+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/border-22plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=border%20%2822%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP