Will Donald Trump say “Billion / Trillion” 15+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Billion / Trillion” 15+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 17, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Billion / Trillion 15+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…going to get him to vote against us. Every single one, you know, I gave, as you know, $12 billion just recently to the farmers.
…So in much less than two years we secured commitments for $22.2 trillion of new investments into the United States of America. the greatest amount…
…good memory to the best I just approved a steel plant for billions of dollars in a section of Iowa that can use the jobs.…
…or cyber attacks. It's pretty amazing. Americans reported losing more than $20 billion to cyber enabled crimes, and this is just what's reported. So, the…
…my political career, Tim. That'll be But we secured commitments for 22.2 trillion dollars in new investments coming into the United States. It's the greatest,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2025 | Billion / Trillion 15+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Billion / Trillion 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Billion / Trillion” 15+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 17, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Billion / Trillion 15+ times” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Billion / Trillion 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/billion-or-trillion-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=billion%20%2F%20trillion%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP