Will Donald Trump say “Joe / Biden” 4+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Joe / Biden” 4+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 12, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 20, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (4+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Joe / Biden 4+ times
- Probability
- 41% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to give up their ticket, would anybody some of the front row joe's would any front row like to give up? Well, thank you very…
…they didn't have to travel for the first Right. They're great people. But at LA and by the way, front row Joe's, you are great.
…media. You know, I was telling him the other night I imitated Biden on the stage where he used to walk off walls and could…
…was actually zero in 17 months. Who can believe it, right? Remember Joe Biden said we'd have to go to Congress to get a change.…
Yeah. Sure, sure. We had a wonderful man who, during the Biden administration, was taken hostage in Russia. They claimed things -- we won't get…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | Joe / Biden 4+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Joe / Biden 4+ | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Joe / Biden 4+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Joe / Biden” 4+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 12, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 20, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Joe / Biden 4+ times” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Joe / Biden 4+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/biden-or-joe-4plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=biden%20%2F%20joe%20%284%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP