Will Donald Trump say “Kelly/Ayotte”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Kelly/Ayotte” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 20, 2025.

Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Kelly/Ayotte

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 6 speeches
said in 0 of 6

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Georgia · Oct 24, 2026 · 1:35:42In transcript

…married to Jeff, who's a fantastic guy, and she is just amazing. Kelly Laughler. Kelly, thank you. Great. She did a great job. She's doing…

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 20, 2025Kelly/AyotteKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Kelly/Ayotte”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Kelly/Ayotte” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 20, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Kelly/Ayotte” next time?
47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Kelly/Ayotte’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/ayotte-or-kelly (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=ayotte%20%2F%20kelly · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP