Will Donald Trump say “Award”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Award” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 4, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Award
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Long before politics, right? Long before politics. He presented me with an award uh I would say five, six, seven, eight years before he decided…
…disgrace. So, what I came up with, Mr. president has a new award. It's called the man of the century award. Okay. It's the man…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…I think it's 57 times. It's so they just gave me an award. I was on the cover of Time magazine more than any other…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2026 | Award |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Award”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Award” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Award” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Award’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/award (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=award · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP