Will Donald Trump say “August”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “August” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 13, 2026.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
August
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 1 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…she will not be legally allowed to be a member of that august body that sits in Washington so beautifully of which we have many…
…she will not be legally allowed to be a member of that August body any longer. She won't be able. I mean, I don't know.…
…because they spend it. They spend it before they get it. In August, I signed a historic national security memorandum unleashing the incredible talent, tools…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 2026 | August |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “August”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “August” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “August” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘August’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/august (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=august · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP