Will Donald Trump say “Aluminum / Steel”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Aluminum / Steel” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 21, 2026.
In the 8 latest transcripts we have (4 remarks, 2 rallies, 2 speeches), it reached the market's count 3 times.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Aluminum / Steel
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Latest transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
7 counted.
…a lot of things right. But, you know, we have copper and aluminum. Henry knows this. Steel. And we came we're we the steel industry…
…ever have a war, you can't say, "Let's see. Let's get some steel from China." You got to have your own You got to have…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Aluminum / Steel |  Polymarket | Yes | 7 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Aluminum / Steel”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Aluminum / Steel” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Aluminum / Steel” next time?
- 58%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Aluminum / Steel’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/aluminum-or-steel (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=aluminum%20%2F%20steel · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP