Will Donald Trump say “Speech / Address”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Speech / Address” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 14, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Speech / Address
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…country go. So that's what he said. And now he's making a speech for Muhammad today in a massive crowd. A massive crowd has shown…
…he said that young man has a lot of He made a speech so good that I didn't want to speak after him. He presented…
…Nebraska. We're going to reelect I went to Nebraska, made a little speech, and he took off like a rocket ship. You saw that, right?…
…Sean, and everybody at this table who's working shoulder to shoulder to address this. I mean, at the War Department, we've done the same on…
…cracking up, right? And then I came back and I finished my speech and I said, "Baby, how good was that tonight? Was that the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026 | Speech / Address |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Speech / Address”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Speech / Address” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Speech / Address” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Speech / Address’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/address-or-speech (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=address%20%2F%20speech · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP