Will Donald Trump say “18 or above”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Donald Trump saying “18 or above” has settled yet.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
18 or above
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…by ocean it's down by 97%. That's 97% and drugs are about 18 years 19 years now they're at the lowest level coming in through…
for the last three months. 1.8% inflation. We have that under control. The hardest thing we have to do is nab these career criminals, these…
…the task force. He put the vice president in charge to sit above the entire rest of the government and direct the government's actions on…
There are 18 of them being built by the greatest defense companies in the world right now 18 under construction. Some of them very quickly…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | 18 or above |  Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Apr 2, 2026 | 18 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘18 or above’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/18-or-above (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=18%20%2F%20above · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP