Will Donald Trump say “16 or above”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Donald Trump saying “16 or above” has settled yet.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
16 or above
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…warn over 10,000 Americans targeted for victim -- victimization, and we've prevented $1.6 billion in losses, at least, this year. Federal law enforcement has also…
…broke the record by like a 100 pounds. The record stood for 16 years. They put it was an eighth of an ounce on each…
…the task force. He put the vice president in charge to sit above the entire rest of the government and direct the government's actions on…
…comes in unless they're invited. Unless they have permission. In the past 16 months, zero illegal aliens have been admitted to the United States. And…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | 16 or above |  Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Apr 2, 2026 | 16 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘16 or above’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/16-or-above (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=16%20%2F%20above · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP