Will Donald Trump say “15 or above”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Donald Trump saying “15 or above” has settled yet.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
15 or above
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…years ago, three trillion. We had 22 trillion. Think of this for 15 months. They they call it up to 15. That means we have…
…Ghana and Nigeria, and we arrested another 300 individuals and seized another $15 million being fleeced from American senior citizens through these scam center operations.…
…money. Henry, tell them that they have to pay the people $10,000, $15,000. They got plenty of money. And all of a sudden, you're going…
…the task force. He put the vice president in charge to sit above the entire rest of the government and direct the government's actions on…
…poverty rate has reached its lowest level in American history. We lifted 1.5 million Americans out of poverty last year alone. Another record, the African…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | 15 or above |  Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Apr 2, 2026 | 15 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘15 or above’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/15-or-above (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=15%20%2F%20above · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP