Will “Hail Mary” be said on the next NFL broadcast?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Hail Mary” was said on NFL broadcasts in 8 of 54 games with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2025 (15%), most recently on Oct 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 14% (n=54, from settlement history), not a forecast.

14%from settlement history only · n=54counts: play-by-play or color
Last 10
1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 8 times
Counts
play-by-play or color
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=nfl&word=hail%20mary

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

NFL

Hail Mary

Probability
14% · n=54
Settled
8/54 (15%)

Next listing counts: play-by-play or color

We don’t have transcripts for NFL yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the announcers say during the Cowboys vs Packers game? · settled no

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What will the announcers say during the Seahawks vs Broncos game? · settled no

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What will the announcers say during the Ravens vs Falcons game? · settled no

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What will the announcers say during the 49ers vs Seahawks game? · settled no

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What will the announcers say during the Buccaneers vs Cowboys game? · settled no

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What will the announcers say during the Falcons vs Saints game? · settled no

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What will the announcers say during the Lions vs Panthers game? · settled no

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What will the announcers say during the Chiefs vs Raiders game? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during the Steelers vs Browns game? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during the Ravens vs Cowboys game? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 55 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 18, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Oct 15, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Oct 11, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Oct 11, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Oct 8, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Oct 5, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Oct 4, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Oct 4, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Oct 1, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketYes
Sep 27, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Sep 27, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Sep 24, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Sep 21, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Sep 20, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Sep 20, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Sep 17, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Sep 14, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Sep 13, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketYes
Sep 13, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Sep 10, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Sep 9, 2026Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Dec 4, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Dec 2, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Dec 1, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Nov 29, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Nov 28, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Nov 28, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Nov 28, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Nov 25, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Nov 21, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Nov 18, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Nov 14, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Nov 11, 2025Hail MaryKalshiYes
Nov 10, 2025Hail MaryKalshiYes
Nov 7, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Nov 4, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Nov 3, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Oct 31, 2025Hail MaryKalshiYes
Oct 28, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Oct 27, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Oct 24, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Oct 21, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Oct 20, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Oct 17, 2025Hail MaryKalshiYes
Oct 14, 2025Hail MaryKalshiYes
Oct 13, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Oct 10, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Oct 10, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Oct 6, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Oct 5, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Oct 2, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Sep 29, 2025Hail MaryPolymarketNo
Sep 29, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Sep 28, 2025Hail MaryKalshiNo
Sep 25, 2025Hail MaryKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Hail Mary” said on NFL broadcasts?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Hail Mary” was said on NFL broadcasts in 8 of 54 games with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 25, 2025 (15%), most recently on Oct 1, 2026.
What is the probability “Hail Mary” is said on NFL broadcasts next time?
14%, from settlement history (n=54). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: play-by-play or color.

Cite parrot.markets, “NFL: ‘Hail Mary’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/nfl/words/hail-mary (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nfl&word=hail%20mary · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nfl&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP